Quaker State 400 Odds 2019
The NASCAR makes the turn for Kentucky Speedway this weekend for the 2019 Quaker State 400. The race will take place on Sunday, July 13th at 7:30 p.m. Martin Truex Jr. Has won the last two races at this track but is he a good bet to win again? Let’s take a closer look at the betting lines and make some picks. Odds to Win 2019 Quaker State 400. Here is a closer look at the latest odds for the Quaker State 400. Including a third-place finish here in 2019. Be worth a look in alternate markets for this weekend’s Quaker State 400.
Race: Quaker State 400
Date: Saturday, July 13, 2019
Track: Kentucky Speedway
Time: 7:30pm ET
Channel: NBCSN
What We Learned From Last Weekend
Have you heard the name Justin Haley yet? If not, you will be hearing a lot of it moving forward. Haley won his first NASCAR Cup Series race in just 3 starts this Sunday after the race was postponed due to rain and then shortened because of more rain. There are a LOT of crying drivers and fans fussing because NASCAR called the race, but yall have to realize that I agree with NASCAR’s decision this time around, and THAT is saying a lot. NASCAR already held off from running altogether so they could try and run a full race on Sunday. Then the rain hit once again. And it wasn’t just a drizzle. The track and infield were completely waterlogged. Just to dry the track would’ve taken several hours in and of itself and, quite frankly, the drivers and teams were all ready to move on to Kentucky.
The funny thing is that I was frustrated with the way that the race ended as well. The “big one” literally just happened. A considerable part of the field was wiped out, hence why Haley ended up at the front of the pack. That being said, there were still a few drivers who could have potentially gotten upfront once again, most notably Joey Logano, who was the class of the field throughout most of the race. That being said, sometimes that’s racing. We can’t control every element. There’s just no way to make a perfect race. Clint Bowyer was over it anyway, y’all. After being wrecked by Austin Dillon, he was ready to get the heck out of dodge. As he explained, they’d been in Daytona for 84 days already. Anyways, your top 10 finishers from Daytona are a little bit different. These are probably some of the best finishes for a lot of these guys. Following Haley was William Byron, Jimmie Johnson, Ty Dillon, and Ryan Newman to round out the top five. Corey Lajoie, Aric Almirola, Matt DiBenedetto, Matt Tifft, and Kurt Busch finished out the top ten. Do not expect a repeat of this at Kentucky. No disrespect to the drivers in this group, but this was clearly a result of a Daytona race. The better half of the field was wiped out and then rain. It was the perfect storm for these young guns to hold their spot upfront.
Where Are We Headed This Weekend?
Kentucky is generally a fun race to watch. We see a lot of tire issues and also notice that track position is crucial here. This track is a 1.5-mile asphalt oval. Its layout is not as cookie-cutter as some of the other intermediate tracks. Banking in turns 1 and 2 is at 17 degrees while 3 and 4 are at 14 degrees. There is a tri-oval with variable banking from 8 to 10 degrees. The straight is a mild 4 degrees of banking. The caveat to this weekend’s race is that it’s a night race. There will be different track conditions with a cooler track, meaning the speeds should be faster than our typical day race here. Additionally, we *should* see more passing under these conditions, but again, I’m not holding my breath based on what we’ve already seen (or not seen) this year. Regardless, something about running under the lights always makes for a better race no matter what.
Odds and Potential Winners Heading Into Kentucky
When it comes to our potential winner here, there’s a pretty clear favorite, and I’m definitely picking him. Martin Truex Jr. has been nothing short of dominant here. He has won both races and all four stages over the past two years. Truex Jr is doing a great job this year so far if he’s not whining about someone racing him. That being said, he will have to contend with the Penske garage and the Gibbs guys because they have been the class of the field in terms of intermediate tracks. Although Logano is still searching for his first win at Kentucky, he’s consistently upfront. With the way that his year is going so far, I’d take a gander and say that he’s got a solid chance to pull that off on Saturday night. Let’s take a look at your potential winners heading in this weekend’s race:
Winner: Martin Truex Jr. (7-2)
Middle of the Road: Kyle Larson (12-1)
Dark Horse: Ryan Blaney (20-1)
Blaney is a Penske driver. That already tells you that he’s got an advantage. That advantage is only superseded by his talent. Blaney is battling a streak of bad luck, but he’s also got a lot of confidence for a young driver. We’re headed to a track where he had a second-place finish last year, so this should be an excellent opportunity for him to get back on track. Kyle Larson used to be the guy to beat on the intermediate tracks. He was on fire. This year, the team can’t seem to get out of the pits without incident or keep their car consistent in the second half of the race. If Kyle can get the stars to align and get back to what we’re used to seeing from him, this might just be his weekend. He started off the year okay but has steadily fallen off through the summer. Let’s take a look at see where he and the rest stand after Daytona’s *ahem* interesting finish.
Quaker State 400 Odds to Win
- 1. Joey Logano (8-1)
- 2. Kyle Busch (5-1)
- 3. Kevin Harvick (5-1)
- 4. Brad Keselowski (8-1)
- 5. Martin Truex Jr. (7-2)
- 6. Denny Hamlin (20-1)
- 7. Chase Elliott (10-1)
- 8. Kurt Busch (25-1)
- 9. Alex Bowman (20-1)
- 10. Aric Almirola (40-1)
- 11. Ryan Blaney (20-1)
- 12. William Byron (40-1)
- 13. Jimmie Johnson (25-1)
- 14. Kyle Larson (12-1)
- 15. Clint Bowyer (25-1)
- 16. Ryan Newman (200-1)
Newman is currently sitting on the bubble, and poor Clint Bowyer isn’t far behind. Bowyer was spending the better part of this season in the top 10 and has fallen pretty far in the last few weeks. Bowyer needs some redemption. He will be driving aggressively this weekend if I have to guess. They will all be chasing Truex, though. He will be the guy to beat along with Kyle Busch and essentially the whole Penske garage. Stay tuned for a great night of racing at Kentucky Speedway!
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2019 Quaker State 400 Odds & Predictions – Favorites & Bad Bets at Kentucky Speedway: After a crazy race at Daytona that was marred by wrecks and Mother Nature, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series heads to Kentucky Speedway this weekend. Saturday night’s Quaker State 400 will be the seventh race of the 2019 season at a mile-and-a-half oval, and after the pack racing at Daytona produced arguably the biggest upset winner in series history last weekend, the big names should go back to flexing their muscles in this one.
The big names from the top teams have always had an edge at the 1.5-mile tracks, and despite the new rules package being used this year, that trend hasn’t changed. Team Penske and Joe Gibbs Racing drivers have combined to win five of the six races so far. Alex Bowman won the other race, and while he may not be a household name yet, he still drives for a powerhouse team in Hendrick Motorsports.
In other words, you won’t want to go to far outside the box with your bets this weekend because the smart money is on a familiar face celebrating in victory lane Saturday night. Check out my top bets for the Quaker State 400 at Kentucky Speedway.
2019 Quaker State 400 Odds & Predictions: Favorites & Bad Bets at Kentucky Speedway
The Favorites
Martin Truex Jr. (7/2)
The 1.5-mile ovals have been his bread and butter for more than two years now, and Truex has been unstoppable at Kentucky recently. He led 152 laps in a win here in 2017, and he came back last year and led 174 laps while making a return trip to victory lane. After back-to-back dominating performances here, Truex has to be considered the favorite to complete a Kentucky three-peat this weekend.
Kyle Busch (5/1)
Busch has been the model of consistency at Kentucky. His 5.0 average finish at the track is the best mark in the series, and in the eight races here, he has piled up six top-five finishes and a couple of wins. Busch has also led the most laps of any driver at Kentucky, and he has led more than 100 laps four different times. He already has a series-best four wins under his belt in 2019, and win No. 5 could be on tap Saturday night.
Brad Keselowski (8/1)
There have been six races at 1.5-mile tracks so far this season, and Keselowski is the only driver who has multiple wins. He also leads all drivers with four top-five finishes in those six events. His three wins at Kentucky are the most in the series, and he has led more than 60 laps in five of his eight starts here, leading the second-most laps of any driver overall. Don’t sleep on Keselowski at 8/1 this weekend.
Big Names to Avoid
Kevin Harvick (5/1)
I know that he has scored the most points of any driver in the six races at 1.5-mile ovals this year, and I know that he has led by far the most laps of any driver in those races. I also know that he hasn’t been able to seal the deal and win a race all year and that he has managed just a single top-five finish in eight career starts at Kentucky. I just can’t bet on Harvick at 5/1 when multiple drivers with multiple Kentucky wins are available at similar or better odds.
Kyle Larson (12/1)
Quaker State 400 2021
Larson is coming off a second-place finish at Chicagoland the last time the series visited a 1.5-mile track, and I think these odds are an overreaction to that performance. The problem is that Larson was also the runner-up at Chicagoland in 2018. He just runs well there. Meanwhile, he has never won a points race at a 1.5-mile oval in his career, and he has a 17.7 average finish in the six races at mile-and-a-half tracks this year. At 12/1, I’ll pass.
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Quaker State 400 Odds 2019
2019 Quaker State 400 Odds at Kentucky Speedway
Brad Keselowski #2 +400
Kyle Busch #18 +400
Kevin Harvick #4 +550
Martin Truex, Jr. #19 +575
Joey Logano #22 +900
Kyle Larson #42 +1000
Alex Bowman #88 +1200
Denny Hamlin #11 +1200
Chase Elliott #9 +1500
Daniel Suarez #41 +1500
Kurt Busch #1 +1500
Ryan Blaney #12 +1500
Aric Almirola #10 +2000
Jimmie Johnson #48 +2000
Clint Bowyer #14 +2500
Erik Jones #20 +2600
William Byron #24 +2700
Austin Dillon #3 +7000
Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. #17 +9000
Daniel Hemric #8 +10000
Ryan Newman #6 +17500
Paul Menard #21 +22500
Matt DiBenedetto #95 +27500
Chris Buescher #37 +30000
Darrell Wallace Jr. #43 +30000
Ty Dillon #13 +35000
Michael McDowell #34 +45000
David Ragan #38 +55000
Ryan Preece #47 +55000
Ross Chastain #15 +275000
Corey LaJoie #32 +300000
Landon Cassill #00 +300000
Matt Tifft #36 +300000
BJ McLeod #53 +400000
Bayley Currey #52 +500000
Quin Houff #77 +500000
Quaker State 400 Odds 2019 Ncaa Tournament
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